Carson Wentz Draft Forecast

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North Dakota State Quarterback Carson Wentz is going off the 2016 draft board 1st? The 23 year old is 6’5 weighing in at 235 lbs and ran a 4.77 – 40 yard dash yesterday. That’s second best amongst this year’s qbs at the 2016 NFL Combine! 

Isn’t North Dakota State a FCS school?

– Yes it is. However, NDS has won 5 straight FCS Championships. Carson Wentz started 23 games in his collegiate career for North Dakota State. He redshirted his freshman year in 2011. Missed the second half of his Senior season in 2015 do to a broken wrist. Wentz only started playing quarterback during his senior year of high school. This potential fantasy stud has the frame and intelligence to develop into an Elite NFL quarterback. Wentz has a compact throwing motion in comparison to other qbs with his length. He makes every NFL throw possible and has a quick release. Watching film of Wentz. I’ve been impressed with his mobility and further impressed with his touch on the deep ball. Wentz throws the kinda balls where it’ll drop onto a wide receiver’s hand on a 50 yard dime. No ducks quacking with this young man and the velocity his deep ball is nice. This velocity is needed with the tight windows in the NFL. Even with a wide open WR on a 50 yard streak. The defensive backs have fast closing speed. Which further backs Wentz’s potential to be a successful NFL QB.

Being able to throw the ball with velocity and touch/accuracy allow for Wentz to make plays outside the pocket or when a play breaks down. Basically in my opinion. Quarterbacks such as Teddy Bridgewater or Tyrod Taylor throw floaters. So when the play breaks down. They are limited in where they can sling the ball. Wentz is not limited and will only improve as he develops NFL strength.

Wentz reminds me of Blake Bortles when I watch him on film. Bortles has more of a cannon. But again, Wentz is still young in football years and will fill out his frame. So which NFL team will make Wentz the first player in NDS’s history to be selected in round 1?

1st Overall Pick Tennessee TitansMarcus Mariota.

2nd PickCleveland Browns Johnny Manziel has been a bust so far and Wentz needs time to develop. The Brown’s have not made the playoffs since 2002 and Wentz wouldn’t change that out the gate this season. Drafting Wentz is a possibility but I see him dropping. Maybe the polished Jared Goff is a better option here.

3rd PickSan Diego ChargersPhillip Rivers is aging. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Wentz off the board here.

4th PickDallas CowboysTony Romo and the Cowboys were close two years ago to a Superbowl. I do not foresee it happening here.

5th PickJacksonville JaguarsBlake Bortles is currently my #1 ranked fantasy quarterback.

6th PickBaltimore Ravens – University of Delaware’s Joe Flacco is a Superbowl Champion.

7th PickSan Francisco 49ers – With Colin Kaepernick‘s recent request for a trade and Chip Kelly in the building. Wentz could land here.

8th PickMiami DolphinsRyan Tannehill.

9th PickTampa Bay BuccaneersJameis Winston was the 2015 1st overall pick.

10th PickNew York GiantsEli Manning.

11th PickChicago Bears – If Wentz drops to 11. The Bears should take him or trade the pick. Jay Cutler is entering the third year of his $126.7 million contract so drafting him is unlikely. I personally think Wentz playing in the Windy City is a fit.

12th PickNew Orleans SaintsDrew Brees is aging and Wentz would develop behind him. Perfect match. Wentz should not drop past pick 12.

13th PickPhiladelphia Eagles – Eagles fans would want Wentz to start his rookie season. The birds do need a qb. If the Eagles sure up their horrendous offensive line. Then why not throw Wentz into the fire week 1. Or they could re-sign Sam Bradford? How about NO. Sam wasted his opportunity last season and continues to live off of the fact that he was a #1 Overall Pick.

14th PickOakland RaidersDerek Carr.

15th PickLos Angeles RamsNick Foles is not a #1 qb in the NFL. If Carson Wentz is still available come pick 15. I foresee L.A. having a playoff team in the near future. Coach Jeff Fisher has the Rams headed in the right direction.

Let’s take a look at Carson Wentz’s career stats at North Dakota State. In his 23 starts with NDS. Wentz faced only one FBS school and that was Iowa State in which he won. In Wentz’s junior year. He led a game winning drive in the final minute of the FCS Championship Game. Against Illinois State, Wentz ran for a 5 yard touchdown with 37 seconds left on the clock. Winning 29 – 27.

2015

  • 1,651 yards
  • 17 TD  – 4 INT.
  • 62.5 completion %.
  • 63 attempts – 294 yards – 6 tds.

2014

  • 3,111 yards.
  • 25 TD – 10 INT.
  • 63.7 completion %.
  • 138 attempts – 642 yards – 6 tds.
  • 1 reception – 16 yards – 1 TD.

Intangibles + Intelligence + Athleticism + Size + Character = 1st round quarterback with low risk/high reward.

 

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Jeffreyd
Fantasy Football Expert.

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